Reforming Indexed Universal Life (IUL) Illustrations

Life insurance agents market Indexed Universal Life (IUL) in large part by illustrations showing cash value returns based on interest rate crediting assumptions. The default rate for running an IUL quote is set by the carrier, and that’s based on historical index averages. Long historical look backs, often 30 years, generate the highest interest rate assumptions. To give a quote, agents can assume a lower credit rate by plugging in a lower percentage on the software, but the carrier default rate shows highest cash value accumulation, so the assumed rate, likely between 7% and 8.25%, has the strongest incentive to be presented. Some major life insurance carriers want this practice reformed, concerned that their eventual inaccuracy of the cash value accumulation will give everyone in the life industry a bad name.

Is there cause for concern?  Yes.  Some carriers who object primarily market whole life products, so the criticism is self serving, but their concern is legitimate.

Index UL products credit rate assumptions are up there. The most common index used for IULs is the S & P 500, and the historical average hovers around an 8.00% rate of return.  The illustration runs a steady 8% crediting rate every year until age 120. For a 35 year old, that’s 85 years straight.  Projections have great cash value figures at age 65, and loans for retirement income age 65 to age 100.  Impressive, but unrealistic.

One carrier doing business in New York has modified their illustration to show alternate values more prominently.  It look something like this:

Guaranteed Values Non-Guaranteed Values
(alternate)
Non-Guaranteed Values
.
 2.00%             4.00%          8.00%

Nothing really new.  Illustration signature pages already have a midpoint assumption. This just runs the values all the way out on the subsequent charts. Still the IUL illustration shows S & P 500 Index annual point interest crediting each and every year even if an alternate cuts the assumed return in half. Interest crediting is subject to cap, now hovering around 13%, but may be reset lower the guaranteed cap is around 4% for many plans.  Indexed ULs have a the zero percent floor guarantee.  How often will the index hit the floor to effect the average?  Showing the same crediting rate every year is harder to justify in the distribution phase for retirement income loans. Compare a 30 year history, to a 15 year history and add up the zeros, by counting 0, 1, 2, 8, 11, as in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2008, 2011.

Here’s a better proposal from Fred Anderson, a life actuary from the Minnesota Department of Insurance.  (emphasis mine)

“Principles that should be included, Andersen said, are a national index of credit rates no more than 1¼ to 2¼ percent higher than traditional universal credit rates; prominent side-by-side mid-point comparisons; the relationship between policy loan rates and credit rates “that addresses a problem there.”

Doing a survey of ten large life company UL credit rates on December 8, 2014, they showed most current assumption UL now credit in the 3% to 4% range. A few were 4% to 5%.  Adding 1¼ to 2¼ percent would mean Index UL illustrations should assume credit rates of 4.25% to at the most 7.00%.  As it stands now, a consumer is more likely to be shown 8% each and every year. It wouldn’t be difficult for life companies to have illustrations with interest rate variations to match actual historical returns, so the client could review cash values that reflect the typical historical ups and downs of index returns. It’s already done on indexed annuities proposals.  John Hancock‘s Indexed UL illustrations already have this option.

Recommendation: Consumers should request Index UL illustrations with non guaranteed credit rates no higher than 5.00% to 5.50%.  A constant crediting rate is unrealistic; consider cash value projections for comparison purposes only.

Posted 12/12/2014.  Interest rates subject to change.

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Trigger Method Fixed Indexed Universal Life (IUL) with Allianz

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Allianz recently announced enhancements to their Fixed Indexed Universal Life (IUL) product Life Pro+.  Why does Allianz call it fixed?  Well, that’s their terminology.  Known mostly as Indexed Universal Life (IUL) or sometimes as Equity Indexed UL (EIUL), the name may differ, but all these Indexed UL products have interest returns tied to a market index, most commonly the S & P 500 Index, and have a floor guarantee of at least 0% as downside protection against losses. That’s why Allianz presumably uses the word fixed as opposed to Variable UL which does not have a 0% floor.

One noteworthy feature in Allianz’s enhancements is a trigger method of interest crediting. If the S & P 500 Index annual point to point hits anywhere greater or equal to zero, will trigger 9% credited to the policy. This Trigger Interest Rate is subject to change on an annual basis but is guaranteed never to go below 2.50%. In years the S & P goes below zero, the floor crediting rate is 0%, and if the index measures in that annual point to point above 9%, the credit remains at 9%.

Most of the Indexed UL product caps are currently in the 11% to 13% range and in this strong market those higher caps make them a more alluring crediting strategy. Historical data does not show that 0% to 9% range to be as prevalent as 10% or higher. Allianz still offers the higher capped S& P 500 annual point-to-point option. Their trigger method is an added option in times when S & P 500 performance expectations were not very high.

Finding the most cost effective Indexed Universal Life (IUL)

Request an IUL quote and many agents will be inclined to show a rosy scenario return assumption.  After all, high return assumptions are what the companies provide as their default settings to generate quotes.  Carriers often use a 30 year historical look back for the S & P 500 Index that show returns in the high 7% to low 8% range.  Showing that level of returns over a span of 20, 30 years or longer runs up the non guaranteed cash values and death benefit. Comparing carriers apples-for-apples with the same high interest rate is one measure of performance, but not the only measure. Since there are good times and bad times with index performance, it’s best to see the plan put under stress and a variety of scenarios to see how may performs.  Observing how these affect the internal rate of returns is a good way to see which carrier shows the best cost of insurance charges

In addition to the default setting last week comparing carriers I ran:

Quote at 6%
Quote at 3%
Quote solving $1 cash value at age 100
Quote showing no further premium contributions after 15 years

Quotes assuming a 5% or 6% index return are good to temper expectations more realistically. Cap rates, currently in the 11% to 15% range, are likely bring down return averages regardless of what the historical average may show.  Quotes assuming 3% helps reveal which carriers are best with cost of insurance charges. Quotes solving for $1 cash value to age 100 helps show which carrier has higher mortality charges in the later years.  Quotes premiums stopping in 10 or 15 years is a method to see how cash values holds up over the years and to to if and when the policy projects to lapse to compare mortality charges.

It’s prudent to request multiple illustrations showing many possible outcomes: low, medium high, over funded and under funed.

Indexed Universal Life (IUL): less blue sky projections

Indexed Universal Life (IUL) illustrations commonly show 7% to 8+% returns based on historical averages over the last 20 to 30 years. Whether or not an Indexed UL can capture that kind of performance over the coming decades is debatable. 2008 bore an unsettling resemblance to 1929, except officials were able to spread foam on the runway.  The Euro’s instability lead to an additional dose of foam for European banks late last year.  All this uncertainty can make Indexed ULs more attractive because guarantees eliminate downside market risk while providing a life insurance benefit.  But what about the upside Certainly 2011’s index results surveyed were below average.  Tops was the Dow Jones Industrial Average at 5.53%.  The S & P 500, the most widely used index, came in at 0%, which is the floor for an Indexed UL regardless.  But then again, seeing blue sky, 2012 is off to a good start, and historically that’s a very good sign.

When reviewing an Indexed UL, it’s prudent to scenario the possibility of lower returns.  I ran a series of comparisons last fall on overfunding an Indexed UL to build cash value for retirement income.  Lincoln performed very well compared to the competition.   I used the S & P 500 Index, annual point-to-point, and Lincoln assumed on the illustration an 8.45% average return.

Over 8%?  How about 5%?
What would returns look like projecting at a more pedestrian 5%?   Assume a male, age 44, excellent health, putting in $25,000 a year in premiums for 20 years with the goal tax-free distributions for retirement income at age 65. Initial death benefit $520,000.

Carrier S&P 500
Index
Return
Cash Value
Year 20,
Age 64
Death
Benefit
Year 20,
Age 64
Retirement Income
Yrs. 21-40
Ages 65-84
Cash Value
Year 41,
Age 85
Death Benefit
year 41,
Age 85
 ‘
Lincoln 8.45%  $1,077,926  $1,597,926  $146,326  $830,516  $1,120,514
5.00%     $727,834  $1,247,834    $51,396 $219,059     $317,285

Take a different example with less premium.  $10,000 premium a year for 20 years: male, age 47, excellent health. Initial death benefit $185,000.

Carrier S&P 500
Index
Return
Cash Value
Year 20,
Age 67
Death
Benefit
Year 20,
Age 67
Retirement Income
Yrs. 21-40,
Ages 68-87
Cash Value
Year 41
Age 88
Death Benefit
year 41,
Age 88
.
Lincoln 8.45% $424,913 $609,913 $46,590 $186,833 $252,943
.
5.00% $287,005 $472,005 $19,732 $62,067 $77,698

When shopping for an Indexed Universal Life
All Indexed UL proposals come with full illustrations.  They’re required.  Brochures are okay as a start, but zero in on the illustration’s chart.  An agent can easily generate and email them on .pdf format.   Illustrations are based on current assumptions, for example 8.45% for Lincoln, but can be run with interest rate assumptions anywhere from 0% up to current.  Make sure to request and review lower interest rate assumptions as a counterpoint.

Carrier: Lincoln National Life Insurance Company; Product: ” Lincoln LifeReserve Indexed UL  (2011)”
Quotes run 1/11/2012 and are subject to change.

For your own personalized free quote please contact me.

Sean Drummey
Phone: (910) 328-04447
email: spdrummey@gmail.com